Over the last two years, we have been conducting research into the use of statistical modelling techniques to detect potential instances of match-fixing in tennis, with a particular focus on detecting “in-play” anomalies.

Please click the “Download Case Study” button to view a brief summary of this work.

In September 2015, we delivered a presentation on this research at the Royal Statistical Society Annual Conference (entitled “Smashing the racket: Detecting match-fixing in tennis via in-play betting irregularities”). Subsequently, in June 2016, an in-depth article on our findings was published by Significance Magazine – the official magazine of the Royal Statistical Society and the American Statistical Association:

“Smashing the racket”, Dr Tim Paulden, Significance Magazine 13(3), June 2016, pp. 16-21, Copyright (c) 2016, The Royal Statistical Society, Wiley.

(Please note that an eligible subscription is required to view the full text of the article.)

We’d be delighted to hear from other mathematical and statistical researchers who are beginning to investigate this exciting yet relatively unexplored domain.